Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.015657 0.019517 0.024560 0.031841 0.042465 0.058080 0.084247
2025-01-12 0.010914 0.014900 0.020875 0.031111 0.049779 0.086579 0.180749
2025-01-19 0.009073 0.013178 0.019953 0.033178 0.062298 0.138699 0.468407
2025-01-26 0.008090 0.012359 0.020007 0.036792 0.081293 0.243271 1.852575
2025-02-02 0.007364 0.011731 0.020112 0.040540 0.105500 0.451513 20.697864
2025-02-09 0.006516 0.010664 0.018998 0.040845 0.120435 0.715810 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005862 0.009819 0.018091 0.041245 0.137392 1.199214 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005310 0.009067 0.017186 0.041228 0.153776 2.072865 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004732 0.008168 0.015736 0.038895 0.155561 2.888998 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004313 0.007536 0.014788 0.037841 0.164627 4.846326 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004045 0.007179 0.014436 0.038712 0.189916 13.445881 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003773 0.006779 0.013892 0.038664 0.209868 45.551829 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003408 0.006174 0.012816 0.036602 0.213780 175.203714 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003128 0.005727 0.012090 0.035735 0.231184 332623.931718 NaN
2025-04-13 0.002991 0.005581 0.012143 0.038244 0.303245 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002913 0.005554 0.012526 0.042658 0.448507 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002833 0.005512 0.012857 0.047271 0.683791 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002673 0.005252 0.012459 0.047647 0.828769 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002533 0.005022 0.012110 0.048142 1.021030 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002398 0.004792 0.011711 0.048122 1.226521 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002232 0.004467 0.010944 0.045242 1.194468 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002105 0.004231 0.010441 0.043944 1.292817 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002024 0.004104 0.010285 0.045016 1.710137 NaN NaN